Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/1822/78672

TitleHigh school and exam scores: Does their predictive validity for academic performance vary with programme selectivity?
Author(s)Silva, Pedro Luis
Sá, Carla Angélica da Silva Pinto de
Biscaia, Ricardo
Teixeira, Pedro
KeywordsAdmission Exams
Teacher Scores
Higher Education
Selectivity
Issue dateJul-2022
PublisherUniversidade do Minho. Núcleo de Investigação em Políticas Económicas (NIPE)
JournalNIPE Working Paper
Abstract(s)Students are admitted into higher education based on their past performance.This paper compares two measures of past cognitive skills: teacher and national exam scores. By using a nationwide dataset, we look at how the predictive power of teacher assessment and exam scores for selecting successful students may vary with the degree of selectivity of higher education programmes. We find that teacher scores predict students’ performance in higher education more accurately, and its predictive power remains the same independently of the selectivity programme indicator considered. We found that national exam scores are noisier and only gain relevance for highly selective programmes. Furthermore, we explore national exams’ volatility and institutional selectivity as potential mechanisms to justify the results. Our results provide solid policy hints on the role that high school scores and admission exams should have for access and performance in higher education.
TypeWorking paper
URIhttps://hdl.handle.net/1822/78672
Publisher versionhttps://nipe.eeg.uminho.pt/publicacoes-nipe/#documentos-de-trabalho
Peer-Reviewedno
AccessOpen access
Appears in Collections:NIPE - Documentos de Trabalho

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