Reliability analysis of a timber truss system subjected to decay

Abstract

Assessing the safety of existing timber structures is of paramount importance for taking reliable decisions on repair actions and their extent. The results obtained through semi-probabilistic methods are unrealistic, as the partial safety factors present in codes are calibrated considering the uncertainty exhibited by new structures. In order to overcome these limitations, and also to include the e ects of decay in the safety analysis, probabilistic methods, based on Monte-Carlo simulation are applied here to assess the safety of existing timber structures. In particular, the impact of decay on structural safety is analyzed and discussed using a simple structural model, similar to that used for current semi-probabilistic analysis.