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dc.contributor.authorCortinhas, Carlos-
dc.date.accessioned2007-10-22T20:02:20Z-
dc.date.available2007-10-22T20:02:20Z-
dc.date.issued2005-
dc.identifier.citationANNUAL GEP POSTGRADUATE CONFERENCE, 4, Nottingham, Reino Unido, 2005 – “Fourth Annual GEP Postgraduate Conference : proceedings”. Nottingham : University of Nottingham, [2005?].eng
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1822/7065-
dc.description.abstractRecently, a new resolve for both increased economic integration and monetary and exchange rate cooperation has started to emerge in ASEAN, especially since the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. According to the optimum currency area theory, the degree of trade integration is one most important criterion for joining a currency union. The large increase in intra-ASEAN trade in recent years naturally raises the question of whether the ASEAN countries are becoming better prepared to form a currency union. This paper sets to test whether the recorded increase in intra-ASEAN trade is leading the ASEAN members to closer economic integration and thus to better satisfy the criteria for a common currency. Two separate models are estimated for that purpose. First, a variation of the model of Frankel and Rose (1997) was estimated for the ASEAN members. As the results were not very significant, a new methodology that uses the whole sample period data instead of dividing the data into sub-periods was conducted. The results with our own model were very significant and robust, and showed a clear positive correlation between intra-industry trade and business cycle synchronization in ASEAN. This result has important implications for the prospects of the creation of a common currency in the region.eng
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherUniversity of Nottinghameng
dc.rightsopenAccesseng
dc.subjectIntra-industry tradeeng
dc.subjectBusiness cycle harmonizationeng
dc.subjectEconomic integrationeng
dc.subjectASEANeng
dc.titleIntra-industry trade, specialisation and business cycles in ASEANeng
dc.typeconferencePapereng
dc.peerreviewedyeseng
sdum.publicationstatuspublishedeng
oaire.citationConferenceDate11 Abr. 2005eng
sdum.event.locationNottingham, Reino Unidoeng
sdum.event.titleFourth Annual GEP Postgraduate Conferenceeng
sdum.event.typeconferenceeng
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