A simulation study comparing modeling approaches in an illness-death multi-state model

Abstract

In many medical studies, there are covariates that change their values over time and their analysis is most often modeled using the Cox regression model. However, many of these time-dependent covariates can be expressed as an intermediate event which can be modeled using a multi-state model. Using the relationship of time-dependent (discrete) covariates and multi-state models, we compare (via simulation studies) the Cox model with time-dependent covariates with the most frequently used multi-state regression models. This paper also details the procedures for generating survival data arising from all approaches, including the Cox model with time-dependent covariates.